Forex Scalping and Day Forex Trading Success or How to Win

If you look online you will see numerous vendors selling promising you day trading and scalping success but what do you need to win? Let's find out...

The industry that surrounds forex scalping and day forex trading that sells systems is homeric and it sounds very silvery but if herself strip away the slickness the science of being doesn't work. We will look at why in a moment for now lets see why the track records always make money that you see and the warning below will give you a clue...

"CFTC RULE 4.41 - Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Ah so they have never actually been traded and how much use are they? Well the conclusion of the disclaimer makes it very clear."
Simulated forex trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight.

Enfranchisement representation is being succeeding that anybody annual behest billet is predictable until make it profit or losses approximating to those shown. So you have someone who claims they can make you money but hasn't actually done it themselves so why can't they make money in realtime?

Quite simply because forex trading doesn't work. It sounds good forex trading small moves with tight stops for forex profits and it would be a good idea if the volatility that occurs in any daily forex trading session was not random but it is. Awful if you dwelling a stop using daily levels the only ethos you can win is congruent with hap and your luck won't last ever and again! You can apply the best forex trading systems, fx technical indicators and try as hard as you like but if you cannot use the daily ranges you're going to lose sooner rather than later.

Lots of people tell you that human nature can be predicted with science in short time frames but if the markets moved to science and we could predict then there would be no forex market, as of course we would all know the price before hand. So if ego want toward change forex and win twelvemonth trading and scalping wont further you. You need to trade forex longer time frames. Swing forex trading is a good option. You are trading valid forex data, you can have stops quite close and you have plenty of action. It's easy to learn fun to do and can be very profitable. So leave day forex trading to the losers and don't believe the hype it doesn't work as the logic it is based on simply doesn't add up.

Learn FOREX ZUP :: Zig Zag with Pesavento Patterns. Part No1

MetaTrader 4 Forex Backtesting F.A.Q.

I decided to write up this little tutorial, because backtesting different forex systems comes up very often in threads on this forum. There seems to be a lot of confusion about reliability issues and how to go about achieving the most accurate possible results. I am not a programming or forex trading guru, but I believe I can provide a helpful little FAQ on backtesting using MT4.
Good backtesting is important when considering a forex system-trading approach, because you want to have some idea of the feasibility of your idea before you go live with it [at least I do]. If you're backtesting with a 50% model quality, eh... you can't really be sure what's going on. If you have a 90% modeling quality, you can have more confidence on how your forex system actually would have performed.


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MCBoogs' MT4 Backtesting FAQ v1.0
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Contents:
- Section 1: Is MT4 Backtesting Reliable?
- Section 2: Downloading/Importing/Converting 1M Data
- Section 3: Configuring the Backtester
- Section 4: Other Issues


Section 1: Is MT4 Backtesting Reliable?

This question often gets pretty heated and people even get to the point of flaming each other about it. Backtesting in MT4 can be reliable, but its reliability is contingent upon the data you are backtesting on. Demo account data that is streamed in through a demo account forex broker has gaps, holes, and is basically not suitable for testing.
When backtesting, you want to use the EVERY TICK MODEL and have accurate 1M data to get the most accurate test possible. The forex 1M data is important, because the EVERY TICK MODEL uses whatever the smallest available timeframe available is and "fakes" the movement of price within the smallest available bars. Having 1M data allows for the fractal interpolation within bars to occurs only within the very narrow range of forex 1M bars.
The easiest [and only] solution to this is to use good 1M data. The most complete data you can get [at least for free] is from Alpari's Databank. They have data in MT native format, on the 1M timeframe back through mid 2004. However, setting up the data for use requires some doing.



Section 2: Downloading/Importing/Converting 1M Data

(1) You need to modify MT4 to allow for more bars. Go into the Tools Menu, then go to Options [or just hit C+O]. Go into the charts tab and put in 9999999999999 for bars in history. MT4 will default to whatever it's maximum is.

[Note: The reason MT4 has a limited forex bar count to begin with is because more bars (particularly when used in backtesting models) means MT4 is going to eat up more HD space.]

(2) Download the 1M data from Alpari's Databank in whatever forex currency[ies] you're going to test on.

(3) Import the data into MT4 using the History Center. Go to Tools => History Center [or push F2]. Make sure you import it in proper forex currency and in the M1 timeframe. You don't want EUR/USD data being important into USD/CAD for instance.

(4) Convert the data using the period converter script included in MT4 [you only have 1M bars right now]. You have to open offline forex charts to do this.
-Go to the File Menu, then Open Offline, select the 1M data of the currency you need to convert. A chart will pop up with that data.
-Then drag & drop the period_converter script onto the offline forex chart. The ExtPeriod Multiplier int that you can modify is the multiplier you are applying to the chart. So making it 5, will convert 1M data into 5M data.
-For simplicity's sake, you need to run the period converter with the following integers to get all the backtesting timeframes: 5,15,30,60,240, and 1440.

[NOTE: you can also convert 1M data to timeframes not native to MT4 if you want to do some forex indicator analysis or something on another timeframe.]

Congratulations, you have now imported and converted data into MT4. Now, for the sake of illustrating one of my earlier points, open up a currency you have imported data on. Look at the difference in the bars from the downloaded data as opposed to data streamed in from a Demo broker [So, if you downloaded 1M data from July 04 to August 05, look at the forex chart at August 05's end and September 05's beginning]. You will notice that the bars (on every time frime if you have converted them properly) from your downloaded time period will be more complete.




Section 3: Configuring the Backtester

Now that you've succesfully imported complete data, there are a few more things you need to do to run a reliable backtest.

(1) Check the recalculate option the next time you run a backtest, because you need the backtester to utilize your shiny new happy data (which it won't do unless you tell it). Anytime you import new data, you need to recalculate (I recalculate every few tests just to feel safe, maybe its a reflection of internal confidence problems, but that's for another FAQ).

(2) Check the use date option and set the date range only over a time period where you have good reliable data. This way you're only backtesting the good stuff. It will be reflected in the modeling quality percentage.

(3) Make sure the model is set to EVERY TICK. If you're not, all this hard work we just did was for nothing. I addressed why we do this earlier in the FAQ.



Section 4: Other Issues

MT4 is a work in progress, sometimes there are strange bugs that crop up in backtesting. However, usually when you think you have a bug on your hands, there is something wrong with your code. I can't emphasize enough how important debugging is. If you have problems, check your code first because it's probably the problem. If you really think you have a legit bug on your hands, post it to the MT4 forex forums.
Because you are not actually backtesting on every tick that happened [you are dealing with an interpolation on 1M data], it is still not a perfect reproduction of what actually happened in the markets. Because of this, 1M and 5M forex scalping EAs that get in and out of trades really quickly will run into some problems just because of this limitation. The longer timeframe you are trading on, the less likely your testing is to be hampered by this.
Well, that's all I can think of now. I read this over, I think I made everything clear and have the steps outlined correctly. If you notive a mistake, let me know, and I'll correct it in my next version of the MT4 Backtesting FAQ.


Acknowledgements:
I learned most of what I know about MT4 and forex trading in general from these forums and others like it. Thanks to all the people who contribute that have provided me with useful tidbits of information. There are too many names [and some of them are weird, have lots of numbers in them, etc.] to list, but a serious thanks to all the forex Strategy Builder contributors out there.
Best of luck in the markets everyone.

EuroX2 - Forex Automated trading

forex trading strategies - HAS Forex Trading Scalping System

Heiken_Ashi_Smoothed


Introduction

My name is Don Steinitz. I am originally from California and moved to Las Vegas in 1984 leaving all behind for the pursuit of my number one interest “Blackjack”. I was able to make a very good living by counting cards and other methods to obtain an edge over the casinos. Yes I became well know in Nevada as expected but was never arrested or back roomed which to this day escapes me how I was so fortunate. I was also able to take advantage of tilted roulette wheels, sloppy dealers, slot machines that had some minor faults, biased bingo balls and edges in horseracing etc.
I left the game after 23 years to play “No limit” poker since the edge in that game is large enough for the skillful player to make a nice income as well. I also get treated just the opposite as a professional blackjack player who is always looking behind his back and constantly getting escorted out of casinos. I have studied the stock and forex market for about 8 years now and put in about 11,000 hours in front of my computer looking at charts.
This market is by far the toughest game to beat and I am determined to not give up until I find an edge that I can exploit to my advantage. So why would I share this information with you? Because I haven’t been successful prior to finding “Forex Factory” and this indicator. This website is dedicated to serious forex traders and I was able to stumble on what I believe is an indicator that presents a lot of potential. In the 8 years I have never seen such an accurate way to asses market movements and the ability to capitalize on the beginning of a trend.


THE INDICATORS USED


You need to load on your platform three indictors

1. Heiken_Ashi_Smoothed 1a Input setting are: 2-6-3-21b Colors are: Red, blue, red, blue.1c. Width is: 1,1,3,31d. Style is: 0,0,0,02. 4 TF HAS Bar2a Input settings are: 2-6-3-2... 1.02b Colors are: Red, blue, red, blue, red, blue, red, blue2c Width is: 0,0,0,0,0,0,0,02d Style is: 0,0,0,0,0,0,0,02e Level style is: Silver3. 4 TF HAS Bar23a Input settings are: 2-6-3-2-0 Blue,Red, Black3b Colors are: Blue, red, blue, red, blue, red, blue, red3c Width is: 0,0,0,0,0,0,0,03d Style is: 0,0,0,0,0,0,0,03e Level style is: SilverYou need to set your price chart on "Line charts" (candlesticks will work too) but I prefer line charts since we are dealing with closing prices only and candles with clutter up the chart.



EXPLINATION OF THE INDICATORS


So now you have your charts set-up with the three (3) indicators and you have your pricing set to "Line charts". Let's continue......1. On the top of the chart you will see the “HAS” indicator. There are only two colors that you will see red or blue. Red for down and blue for up. There is also another candle that you will see from time to time. It is a red body with a blue wick or blue body with a red wick. I’ll go into that later.

2. On the bottom of the chart you will see the “4TF HAS” indicator display four timeframes off to the right side of the indicator. If your platform is set to 5M you will see 5M, 15M, 30M & 1Hr. You can also confirm the TF's just over the indicator itself which helps if you can't see the right side of your screen for whatever reason.3. On the bottom of the chart we also have the “4TF HAS Bar2” which overlaps the other “4TF HAS Bar” indicator to enable a mixed color bar (bar with a dot in the middle) to display when they occur naturally. Don’t worry we will discuss that later. Thanks go out to “Mouteki” for his help with a modification to this indicator which he named the “4TF HAS Bar2”.

THE RULES FOR ENTERING


Let’s take the 5M TF as our example.



1. Look at the lowest row which is the 5M TF. If the bar directly above the 5M bar is also blue you take the trade long. The best time to enter on ANY TF is just after you see an opposite colored bar on as many TF’s as possible. In this example it’s best to enter after you have seen some red bars on the lowest TF. If you saw red bars on all 4 TF’s just prior to entering long this makes for a better trade. The reason for this is you want to enter at the beginning of a new move or time cycle. If you entered on a blue/blue candles (5M/15M) just after seeing just one row of red candles on the 5M TF, it is possible and highly likely that you are not taking the beginning of a New 5M trend. Either way the entry is ok to take. I mention this only to enlighten you as to what makes for a better entry which will produce more PIPS since you will have gotten in early.

2. Now you have entered and you are on the 5M/15M cycle. Your job now is to sit tight and do nothing until you see your first red candle on the 5M TF. Once this has occurred you will be on alert status since the trade is starting to backfill. In other words some possible profit taking has occurred. But do nothing. Two things will happen at this point forward.
2a. You will see some more red 5M bars, then as the market recovers you will get into blue bars once again or
2b. You will see more red 5M bars and then the 15M row will display it’s first red bar.

In the case of 2a you just continue watching and do nothing. In the case of 2b you wait for the close of the 15M bar and then switch the TF of the MT4 platform to the next higher one. In this case that would be the 15M. If after switching TF’s to the 15M you end up with a red bar on the lowest TF (15M) and a blue bar on the 30M TF you are safe to continue the trade. Remember we are always talking about the bar directly on top of the other bar.

3. If after switching TF’s to the 15M you end up with a red bar on the lowest TF (15M) and red bar on the 30M TF you exit immediately. Remember we always perform ALL functions with a close of bar.

4. So now assume we are clear to stay in on this trade. So are job is to monitor the 15M/30M TF. Again we stay in the trade as long as the 15M stays blue. If it turns red you perform the same function as before. Do nothing if the 15M is red and the 30M is blue. If the 15M and the 30M are both red get out immediately (at the close).

5. Now this can go on for a long time. I will be attaching a trade on the forum that started with the 5M TF and continued to the 1hr/4hr. I just looked at the trade I will be posting that follows this word doc and I would still be in. Lot’s of PIPS were made by staying in and not exiting until the rules tell you to do so.



EXITS




1. I have always said that exits are the hardest part to any trading method. Not just this one but any method. The reason is it is hard to predict the beginning of a trend or the end of a trend. You can see clearly when you are somewhere in the middle.

2. I have two schools of thought that can be used mechanically. One exit is risky and one is less riskier. With risk comes the potential to adjust how much profit you are trying to achieve. I will let the reader decide how much risk/reward they feel they want to manage.

3. When I talk about risk I am referring to how much potential profit one is willing to give back as a trade off for staying in the trade longer.

4. Exit rule #1 (bigger risk)
4a Exit on ANY TF when the lowest and next higher TF both show the opposite color from the original trade. When long you would exit if the lowest TF and next higher TF both are red.
It should go without saying that you reverse whatever I am saying if you take the opposite trade direction.

5. Exit rule #2 (less riskier)
5a Exit on ANY TF when the lowest TF bar changes to an opposite color from the original trade. When long you would exit if the lowest TF bar is red ignoring the upper TF’s.

6. Keep in mind that if you exit on this less riskier method you can always get back in later after the lowest TF bar changes back to the original color based off of the original trade. I say this because you might have exited prematurely to avoid waiting too long for the riskier next higher TF bar to turn red. I will go into another technique that will have it’s own thread. It will be based on what I have touched on here.

7. One of the reasons I have dedicated my time to this thread is for you the reader to help find ways to manage the exits to optimize the ability to keep those hard earned PIPS. I believe we can come up with a filter or something based on resistance or support that can help identify the tops and bottoms more efficiently.



EPILOGUE


1. That about sums up the strategy that you can use to make more money then you could have imagined. This can be your personal ATM machine. If you like what you have read I would appreciate any and all feedback good or bad. Stay tuned for my next word doc about a style of trading that let’s you enter at anytime once a trend has already been established.

More Forex Scalping Systems

Steinitz